# FOMC press conference (fomc-press-conference) · presser 2025-03-17 · 30 words · K k:KXFEDMENTION-25MAR · as_of 2026-10-24T19:15:41Z
# scope K role:fed-chair · n/y settled before 2025-03-17 · tn/th last 8 presser transcripts 2024-03-20..2025-01-29 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFEDMENTION-25MAR ({word} = w of K rows): If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says {word} at his Mar 2025 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Good Afternoon	good afternoon	2	2	1	YY	8	8	0.78	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	2	2	1	YY	8	2	0.78	hist	yes
Trump	trump	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.3	hist	no
Balance of risk	balance of risk	0	0			8	8	0.59	prior	yes
Balance Sheet	balance sheet	0	0			8	4	0.59	prior	yes
Bitcoin	bitcoin	0	0			8	2	0.59	prior	no
China	china	0	0			8	2	0.59	prior	no
Consumer Confidence	consumer confidence	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Credit	credit	0	0			8	1	0.59	prior	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency	crypto|cryptocurrency	0	0			8	1	0.59	prior	no
Crypto Reserve / Cryptocurrency Reserve	crypto reserve|cryptocurrency reserve	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Default	default	0	0			8	1	0.59	prior	no
Dot plot	dot plot	0	0			8	1	0.59	prior	no
Earnings	earning	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Egg	egg	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Energy	energy	0	0			8	8	0.59	prior	yes
EU / European Union	eu|european union	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Expectation	expectation	0	0			8	8	0.59	prior	yes
Fort Knox	fort knox	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas	gas|gasoline|natural gas	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Michigan	michigan	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	yes
Projection	projection	0	0			8	4	0.59	prior	yes
QT / Quantitative Tightening	qt|quantitative tightening	0	0			8	2	0.59	prior	yes
R* / R-star / R star	r|r star	0	0			8	2	0.59	prior	no
Real wage	real wage	0	0			8	2	0.59	prior	no
Recession	recession	0	0			8	3	0.59	prior	yes
Restrictive	restrictive	0	0			8	8	0.59	prior	yes
Soft landing	soft landing	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Trade war	trade war	0	0			8	0	0.59	prior	no
Yield curve	yield curve	0	0			8	1	0.59	prior	no