# Michelle Bowman (michelle-bowman) · speech 2026-03-31 · 14 words · K k:KXFEDGOVMENTION-26MAR31 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:55:36Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-31 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFEDGOVMENTION-26MAR31 ({word} = w of K rows): If Michelle W. Bowman says {word} as part of Speech At CBA Live 2026 (Q&A included), then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.4	yes
Basel III	basel iii	0	0		0.4	yes
Biden	biden	0	0		0.4	no
Credit	credit	0	0		0.4	yes
Iran	iran	0	0		0.4	no
Leverage Ratio	leverage ratio	0	0		0.4	no
Mortgage	mortgage	0	0		0.4	yes
Oil	oil	0	0		0.4	no
Rate Cut	rate cut	0	0		0.4	no
Regulator / Regulation / Regulatory	regulation|regulator|regulatory	0	0		0.4	yes
Stress Test	stress test	0	0		0.4	no
SVB / Silicon Valley Bank	silicon valley bank|svb	0	0		0.4	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0		0.4	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.4	no