# Elon Musk (elon-musk) · earnings_call 2026-08-04 · 17 words · K k:KXELONMENTION-26AUG04 · as_of 2026-10-27T02:23:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-04 · tn/th blank: no earnings call transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXELONMENTION-26AUG04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Elon Musk says {word} as part of SpaceX Earnings Call originally scheduled for August 4th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tesla	tesla	9	8	0.89	YYnYYYYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Optimus	optimus	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			0.32	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	yes
Grok	grok	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	yes
Mars	mar	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Anthropic / OpenAI	anthropic|openai	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Artemis	artemis	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Colossus	colossus	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Consciousness	consciousness	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Cursor	cursor	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
ISS / International Space Station	international space station|iss	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Merge / Merger	merge|merger	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Nvidia	nvidia	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Order of Magnitude	order of magnitude	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Satellite	satellite	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Starbase	starbase	0	0			0.32	prior	yes