# Christine Lagarde (christine-lagarde) · tv_episode 2026-02-23 · 11 words · K k:KXECBMENTION-26FEB23 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:23:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-23 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXECBMENTION-26FEB23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Christine Lagarde says {word} as part of Face the Nation, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Recession	recession	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0			0.46	prior	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			0.46	prior	no
China	china	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Defense	defense	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Inflation	inflation	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Powell / Warsh	powell|warsh	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Refund	refund	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Trillion	trillion	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0			0.46	prior	no