# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · keynote 2025-06-17 · 15 words · K k:KXDJTMEXG7-25JUN17 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:40:01Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-06-17 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDJTMEXG7-25JUN17 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of his Bilateral Meeting with the President of Mexico at the G7 summit, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Biden	biden	28	22	0.79	YYYYYYYYYn	0.69	hist
Border	border	16	11	0.69	nnYYYYYnnn	0.6	hist
Water	water	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.48	hist
Los Angeles	los angele	2	2	1	YY	0.44	hist
Newscum	newscum	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41	hist
Taco	taco	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist
Fentanyl	fentanyl	10	3	0.3	nnYnnYYnnn	0.32	hist
NAFTA	nafta	12	4	0.33	nYnnYYnnnn	0.29	hist
USMCA	usmca	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist
Coyote	coyote	0	0			0.4	prior
Deportation	deportation	0	0			0.4	prior
Invasion	invasion	0	0			0.4	prior
Secure	secure	0	0			0.4	prior
Trafficking	trafficking	0	0			0.4	prior
Wall	wall	0	0			0.4	prior