# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2025-03-13 · 25 words · K k:KXDJTJUSTICEMENTION-25MAR13 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:25:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-03-13 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDJTJUSTICEMENTION-25MAR13 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of the Justice Department speech, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist	yes
Border	border	3	3	1	YYY	0.58	hist	yes
Hunter / Biden	biden|hunter	0	0			0.53	hist	yes
Golden Age	golden age	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Pardon	pardon	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Death penalty	death penalty	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
Bill / Barr	barr|bill	0	0			0.43	hist	no
Martial law	martial law	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
Lawfare	lawfare	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Antifa / Anti-fa / Anti-fascist	anti fa|anti fascist|antifa	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Civil rights	civil right	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Clean house	clean house	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Crime	crime	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
FISA court	fisa court	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Insurrection	insurrection	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Jeff / Sessions	jeff|session	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Judge	judge	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Justice	justice	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Kash / Patel	kash|patel	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Law and order	law and order	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
National Security	national security	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Police	police	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Prison reform	prison reform	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Weapon / Weaponization	weapon|weaponization	0	0			0.46	prior	yes