# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2025-05-13 · 30 words · K k:KXDJTHANNITY-25MAY13 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-hannity-interview-on-may-13 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:08:37Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-13 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDJTHANNITY-25MAY13 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of his Interview with Sean Hannity originally scheduled for 9:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-hannity-interview-on-may-13 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	1	K	13	12	0.92	YYYYYnYYYY	0.65	hist	no
Joe / Biden 5+ times	biden|joe#5	5	P	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.55	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	9	6	0.67	YYnnYnYYY	0.53	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYYYnn	0.48	hist	yes
India	india	1	K	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.48	hist	yes
Hell 3+ times	hell#3	3	P	10	7	0.7	YYnYnYYYnY	0.47	hist	no
President Xi	president xi	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.46	hist	yes
Pakistan	pakistan	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	yes
Saudi	saudi	1	K	0	0			0.44	hist	yes
Drug	drug	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	hist	no
Reagan	reagan	1	P	7	3	0.43	nnnYYnY	0.39	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	K	9	4	0.44	YnnYYnYnn	0.38	hist	yes
Pope	pope	1	K	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.38	hist	no
Golf / Golfer	golf|golfer	1	P	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	K	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	0.36	hist	no
Syria	syria	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Investment	investment	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Hostage	hostage	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.34	hist	no
Netanyahu / Bibi	bibi|netanyahu	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Immigration	immigration	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Qatar	qatar	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	30	9	0.3	nnnYYYnYnn	0.29	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	88	4	0.05	nnnYnnnnnY	0.14	hist	no
MBS / Mohammed bin Salman	mbs|mohammed bin salman	1	K	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Big beautiful deal	big beautiful deal	1	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Dome	dome	1	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Geneva	geneva	1	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
In the history	in the history	1	P	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Russia / Ukraine 7+ times	russia|ukraine#7	7	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no