# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2025-02-18 · 34 words in 36 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXDJTHANNITY-25FEB18 · P p:what-will-trump-and-elon-say-during-their-feb-18-interview · as_of 2026-10-24T01:17:29Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-02-18 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDJTHANNITY-25FEB18 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of his interview with Sean Hannity, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-and-elon-say-during-their-feb-18-interview (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald Trump or Elon Musk says the listed term during this interview.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trans/Transgender	tran|transgender	1	P	0	0			0.59	hist	yes
Israel	israel	1	K	14	12	0.86	YYYYYYYnYn	0.56	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.55	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	0.53	hist	yes
Vladimir/Putin	putin|vladimir	1	K	0	0			0.53	hist	no
TikTok	tiktok	1	KP	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.52	hist	no
Elon/Musk	elon|musk	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
COVID	covid	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Saudi Arabia	saudi arabia	1	KP	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.46	hist	no
Tax	tax	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	yes
Tesla	tesla	1	K	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.42	hist	yes
Texas	texa	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
COVID	covid	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	yes
FEMA	fema	1	KP	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.41	hist	no
China 10+ times	china#10	10	P	20	8	0.4	nnYYnYnnnY	0.39	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Woke	woke	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
DEI	dei	1	P	0	0			0.32	hist	yes
AI/Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	KP	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.31	hist	no
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	KP	57	1	0.02	nnnnnYnnnn	0.16	hist	no
California	california	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Chuck/Schumer	chuck|schumer	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Clinton	clinton	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Department of Education	department of education	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Fort Knox	fort knox	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Karoline/Leavitt	karoline|leavitt	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Nancy/Pelosi	nancy|pelosi	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
NATO	nato	1	KP	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Palestine	palestine	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Paper Straw	paper straw	1	KP	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Tax 5+ times	tax#5	5	P	1	0	0	n	0.38	prior	yes
Billion 10+ times	billion#10	10	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Department of Education	department of education	1	P	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
DOGE 3+ times	doge#3	3	P	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Kickback	kickback	1	P	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
October 7	october 7	1	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no