# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2025-02-24 · 37 words · K k:KXDJTFRENCHREP-25FEB24 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-macron-presser-today · as_of 2026-10-24T04:45:03Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-02-24 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDJTFRENCHREP-25FEB24 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of his bilateral with Macron and any following Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-macron-presser-today (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	1	K	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.62	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	4	4	1	YYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Zelensky	zelensky	1	P	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.59	hist	yes
Putin	putin	1	K	11	9	0.82	YYYnYYnYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	P	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	0.55	hist	no
Trade/Deficit	deficit|trade	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Gaza	gaza	1	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.53	hist	no
America First	america first	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	no
Russia	russia	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.49	hist	yes
French fries	french fry	1	K	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.45	hist	no
Tariff 5+ times	tariff#5	5	P	2	0	0	nn	0.42	hist	no
Woke	woke	1	K	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.38	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	KP	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	8	1	0.12	nnnnnYnn	0.28	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	61	2	0.03	nYnnnnYnnn	0.16	hist	no
Apple	apple	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Bernard / Arnault	arnault|bernard	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Cathedral	cathedral	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Climate	climate	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	no
France 15+ times	france#15	15	P	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Martial Law	martial law	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Ukraine 10+ times	ukraine#10	10	P	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Ukraine 20+ times	ukraine#20	20	P	0	0			0.48	prior	no
US / United States 7+ times	united state|us#7	7	P	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Dan/Bongino	bongino|dan	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
De Gaulle	de gaulle	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Electric cars / EV / Electric vechicles	electric car|electric vechicle|ev	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Freedom Fries	freedom fry	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Friedrich/Merz	friedrich|merz	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
G7/G-7	g 7|g7	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Germany	germany	1	KP	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Hostage	hostage	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Lafayette	lafayette	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Marine/Le Pen	le pen|marine	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Migration	migration	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Notre Dame	notre dame	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Wine / Champagne	champagne|wine	1	K	0	0			0.43	prior	no