# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-06-16 · 26 words · K k:KXDJTCANG7-25DEC31 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:42:24Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-06-16 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDJTCANG7-25DEC31 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of Canada, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Russia	russia	15	11	0.73	YnYYYYYYnn	0.62	hist
Steel	steel	4	4	1	YYYY	0.59	hist
Border	border	15	11	0.73	YnnYYYYYnn	0.55	hist
Golden Dome	golden dome	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.53	hist
Pipeline	pipeline	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.5	hist
Trudeau	trudeau	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.48	hist
Defense	defense	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.46	hist
Governor	governor	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.44	hist
USMCA	usmca	0	0			0.44	hist
Lumber	lumber	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist
Water	water	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41	hist
Aluminum	aluminum	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.39	hist
Greenland	greenland	11	4	0.36	nnnYYnnYnn	0.37	hist
NAFTA	nafta	11	4	0.36	nnYnnYYnnn	0.37	hist
Fentanyl	fentanyl	9	3	0.33	nnYnnYYnn	0.37	hist
Budget	budget	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist
Oil	oil	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.34	hist
NATO	nato	12	3	0.25	nnnYYnnnYn	0.33	hist
51st	51st	0	0			0.39	prior
Alberta	alberta	0	0			0.39	prior
Car	car	0	0			0.39	prior
Dairy	dairy	0	0			0.39	prior
Elbows Up	elbows up	0	0			0.39	prior
Keystone	keystone	0	0			0.39	prior
Moose	moose	0	0			0.39	prior
XL	xl	0	0			0.39	prior