# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-10-07 · 20 words · K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26OCT07B · as_of 2026-10-24T08:03:48Z
# scope K any_candidate · n/y settled before 2026-10-07 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26OCT07B ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Pennsylvania Governor's Debate originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Data Center	data center	1	10	9	0.9	nYYYYYYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	1	2	2	1	YY	0.72	hist	yes
Union	union	1	0	0			0.68	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	12	9	0.75	nYYYYYnnYY	0.67	hist	yes
Property Tax	property tax	1	1	1	1	Y	0.66	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	22	12	0.55	nYnYnYYYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Minimum Wage	minimum wage	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.6	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.57	hist	no
Marijuana / Cannabis	cannabis|marijuana	1	0	0			0.54	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	9	5	0.56	YYnnYYYnn	0.53	hist	yes
MAGA	maga	1	0	0			0.53	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	1	0	0	n	0.48	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	8	4	0.5	YYYnnYnn	0.47	hist	yes
Abortion	abortion	1	2	0	0	nn	0.4	hist	no
Fracking / Natural Gas	fracking|natural gas	1	0	0			0.59	prior	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	0	0			0.59	prior	yes
Medicaid / Medicare	medicaid|medicare	1	0	0			0.59	prior	yes
School Choice / Voucher	school choice|voucher	1	0	0			0.59	prior	yes