# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-07-28 · 17 words · K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26JUL28 · as_of 2026-10-25T09:18:48Z
# scope K any_candidate · n/y settled before 2026-07-28 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26JUL28 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Wisconsin Democratic primary debate for governor , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Data Center	data center	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
ICE	ice	6	5	0.83	YYYnYY	0.7	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	8	6	0.75	YYYnnYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Sanctuary	sanctuary	2	2	1	YY	0.66	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	7	5	0.71	YYnnYYY	0.66	hist	no
America First	america first	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	no
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.62	hist	yes
Climate	climate	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.57	hist	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	0.54	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	10	5	0.5	nYnYYYnYnn	0.49	hist	no
Common Sense	common sense	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.49	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	17	7	0.41	nnYYnnYnYn	0.46	hist	yes
Farm / Farmer	farm|farmer	0	0			0.58	prior	yes
Literacy	literacy	0	0			0.58	prior	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	0	0			0.58	prior	yes