# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-07-27 · 17 words · K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26JUL27 · as_of 2026-10-26T20:39:46Z
# scope K any_candidate · n/y settled before 2026-07-27 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26JUL27 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate debate originally scheduled for July 27th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.76	yes
Trump (8+ times)	trump#8	8	3	3	1	YYY	0.75	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	0.73	yes
Data Center	data center	1	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.67	yes
AIPAC	aipac	1	1	1	1	Y	0.66	yes
Obama	obama	1	1	1	1	Y	0.66	yes
ICE	ice	1	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.66	yes
Iran	iran	1	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.65	no
Billionaire	billionaire	1	7	5	0.71	YYYnnYY	0.62	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	0.62	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	9	5	0.56	nYnYYYnYn	0.55	no
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.55	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	16	7	0.44	YnnYYnnYnY	0.51	no
Climate	climate	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.49	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.47	yes
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.32	no