# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-08-20 · 18 words · K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26AUG20 · as_of 2026-10-25T05:39:13Z
# scope K any_candidate · n/y settled before 2026-08-20 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26AUG20 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Data Center	data center	1	8	7	0.88	nYYYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	3	3	1	YYY	0.76	hist	yes
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	1	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Grocery	grocery	1	2	2	1	YY	0.71	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	9	7	0.78	YYYnYYnYY	0.69	hist	yes
Schumer	schumer	1	1	1	1	Y	0.67	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.65	hist	yes
Mental Health	mental health	1	6	4	0.67	YnYYnY	0.61	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	10	7	0.7	YYnYYYYYnn	0.6	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	20	10	0.5	YnnYnYnYYY	0.58	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	6	3	0.5	nnYnYY	0.56	hist	no
Trans / Transgender	tran|transgender	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.56	hist	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	8	4	0.5	YYnnYYnn	0.47	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	13	6	0.46	YYYnYnnnnY	0.46	hist	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	no
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0			0.58	prior	no