# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-08-03 · 17 words · K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26AUG03B · as_of 2026-10-24T06:37:07Z
# scope K any_candidate · n/y settled before 2026-08-03 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDEBATEMENTION-26AUG03B ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	4	4	1	YYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	8	7	0.88	YYnYYYYY	0.76	hist	no
Data Center	data center	1	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	1	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	yes
Grocery	grocery	1	1	1	1	Y	0.63	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	7	5	0.71	YYYnYYn	0.61	hist	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	0.6	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.59	hist	yes
Mental Health	mental health	1	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.56	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	18	8	0.44	nYYnnYnYnY	0.51	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	11	5	0.45	YnYYYnYnnn	0.45	hist	no
Trans / Transgender	tran|transgender	1	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.41	hist	yes
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	0	0			0.58	prior	no
Schumer	schumer	1	0	0			0.58	prior	yes