# Kristi Noem (kristi-noem) · hearing 2026-03-03 · 15 words · K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26MAR31 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:28:49Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-03 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-18 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26MAR31 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kristi Noem says {word} as part of US Senate Committee on the Judiciary: Oversight of the Department of Homeland Security, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.56	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Homan	homan	0	0			1	0	0.56	hist	no
Biden	biden	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
Body Cam / Body Camera	body cam|body camera	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	0	0			1	0	0.47	prior	yes
Election	election	0	0			1	0	0.47	prior	yes
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	0	0			1	0	0.47	prior	yes
Renee / Pretti	pretti|renee	0	0			1	0	0.47	prior	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	0	0			1	0	0.47	prior	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0			1	0	0.47	prior	no
Walz	walz	0	0			1	1	0.47	prior	no