# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-03-24 · 16 words · K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26MAR24 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:56:22Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-03-24 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26MAR24 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of Senate Committee on the Judiciary: Arctic Frost: A Modern Watergate hearing, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border	border	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.81	hist	no
Accountable / Accountability	accountability|accountable	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.8	hist	yes
Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	3	3	1	YYY	0.75	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	3	3	1	YYY	0.75	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	2	2	1	YY	0.71	hist	yes
FBI	fbi	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.52	hist	yes
Trump	trump	8	4	0.5	YnYnYnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Biden	biden	11	5	0.45	nnYnnYnYnY	0.48	hist	yes
Turning Point	turning point	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	yes
Whistleblower	whistleblower	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.44	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Email	email	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment	impeach|impeached|impeachment	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
January 6	january 6	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Kash / Patel	kash|patel	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	0	0			0.56	prior	yes