# Kristi Noem (kristi-noem) · hearing 2026-03-04 · 18 words · K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26APR03 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:39:25Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-04 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-18 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26APR03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kristi Noem says {word} as part of The House Judiciary Committee: Oversight of the Department of Homeland Security, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.69	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.69	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.69	hist	yes
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.64	hist	yes
Election	election	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.64	hist	yes
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.64	hist	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.64	hist	yes
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	0	0			1	0	0.62	hist	no
Biden	biden	3	2	0.67	YnY	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Body Cam / Body Camera	body cam|body camera	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.56	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.56	hist	no
Homan	homan	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Renee / Pretti	pretti|renee	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Walz	walz	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.42	hist	no
National Security	national security	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Warrant	warrant	0	0			1	0	0.55	prior	yes