# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-03-04 · 18 words · K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26APR02 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:45:05Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-03-04 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26APR02 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of Subcommittee on Readiness and Management Support To receive testimony on the current readiness of the Joint Force, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	3	3	1	YYY	0.73	hist	no
Border	border	1	1	1	Y	0.62	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	no
China	china	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Discombobulator	discombobulator	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Drone	drone	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Golden Dome	golden dome	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Hegseth	hegseth	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Iran	iran	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Midnight Hammer	midnight hammer	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
National Guard	national guard	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	0	0			0.52	prior	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Venezuela	venezuela	0	0			0.52	prior	no