# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2026-01-21 · 12 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-26JAN21 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:54:30Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-26JAN21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Billionaire	billionaire	1	1	1	Y	0.69	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	3	0	0	nnn	0.54	hist	no
Republican	republican	2	2	1	YY	0.51	hist	yes
Trump	trump	9	3	0.33	YnnYnnnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	0	0	n	0.48	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.35	hist	yes
Greenland / Venezuela	greenland|venezuela	0	0			0.2	hist	yes
Paycheck to Paycheck	paycheck to paycheck	0	0			0.56	prior	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	0	0			0.28	prior	yes