# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2026-01-08 · 10 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-26JAN08 · as_of 2026-10-26T17:19:13Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-08 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-26JAN08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Chris Hayes says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Healthcare	healthcare	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.29	hist
Trump	trump	7	2	0.29	YnnYnnn	0.25	hist
China / Russia	china|russia	0	0			0.25	hist
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist
Dictator / Dictatorship	dictator|dictatorship	0	0			0.3	prior
Greenland	greenland	0	0			0.3	prior
January 6	january 6	0	0			0.3	prior
Oil	oil	0	0			0.3	prior
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0			0.3	prior