# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2025-10-21 · 12 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25OCT21 · as_of 2026-10-25T05:47:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-25OCT21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Karine Jean-Pierre says {word} as part of The Late Show With Stephen Colbert starting on October 20th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Economy	economy	1	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	yes
Free Speech	free speech	1	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	1	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	no
Woke	woke	1	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Dementia	dementia	1	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Kamala	kamala	1	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Leavitt	leavitt	1	0	0			0.32	prior	no
New York	new york	1	0	0			0.32	prior	no
No King	no king	1	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.32	prior	no