# Mark Carney (mark-carney) · presser 2026-09-20 · 15 words · K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26SEP20 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:05:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-20 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26SEP20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Carney says {word} as part of remarks and joint media availability with the Prime Minister of Norway originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Defense / Defence	defence|defense	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.64	yes
Arctic	arctic	8	7	0.88	YYYYYnYY	0.64	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	18	12	0.67	YnYYYnYnnY	0.63	yes
Drone	drone	1	1	1	Y	0.49	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	no
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	12	6	0.5	YYnYnYnnnY	0.43	yes
Trump	trump	24	5	0.21	nnYYnnYnnn	0.43	no
NATO	nato	15	9	0.6	nYYYYnnYnn	0.41	yes
Ukraine / Ukrainian	ukraine|ukrainian	1	0	0	n	0.35	yes
Tariff	tariff	21	8	0.38	nYYYnnnYYn	0.33	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	13	5	0.38	YnYnYnnnYn	0.31	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	18	6	0.33	nnnnnnnYYn	0.3	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	2	0	0	nn	0.3	no
Nuclear	nuclear	3	0	0	nnn	0.26	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnYn	0.25	no