# Mark Carney (mark-carney) · speech 2026-09-17 · 13 words · K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26SEP17 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:08:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-17 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26SEP17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Carney says {word} as part of European Parliament address , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Arctic	arctic	7	6	0.86	YYYYYnY	0.54	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	1	1	Y	0.49	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	17	11	0.65	YYnYYYnYnn	0.49	yes
NATO	nato	14	9	0.64	YnYYYYnnYn	0.48	no
Ukraine / Ukrainian	ukraine|ukrainian	0	0			0.48	no
Tariff	tariff	20	8	0.4	nnYYYnnnYY	0.46	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	18	10	0.56	YYnYnnYnnn	0.42	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	12	5	0.42	YYnYnYnnnY	0.42	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	17	6	0.35	YnnnnnnnYY	0.4	no
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	11	5	0.45	nYYnYnYnnn	0.39	yes
Trump	trump	23	5	0.22	YnnYYnnYnn	0.34	no
Nuclear	nuclear	2	0	0	nn	0.34	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	12	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnnY	0.3	no