# Mark Carney (mark-carney) · interview 2026-05-20 · 12 words · K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26MAY20 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:40:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-20 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26MAY20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Carney says {word} as part of The Prime Minister will deliver remarks and participate in a featured conversation with the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	9	7	0.78	YYYYnYnYY	0.66	yes
NATO	nato	7	5	0.71	YYYnYnY	0.62	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	0.61	yes
Defense / Defence	defence|defense	1	1	1	Y	0.54	yes
Rare Earth / Mineral 	mineral|rare earth	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.53	yes
Housing	housing	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.53	yes
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	0	0			0.51	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	5	2	0.4	nYnYn	0.42	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0	n	0.38	no
Tariff	tariff	10	3	0.3	nnnYnnYnYn	0.34	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	2	0	0	nn	0.34	no
Trump	trump	10	1	0.1	nnnnnnYnnn	0.24	no