# Mark Carney (mark-carney) · interview 2026-03-27 · 11 words · K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26MAR27 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:47:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-27 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26MAR27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Carney says {word} as part of conversation at the Halifax Chamber of Commerce, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
NATO	nato	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
Arctic	arctic	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Military / Defense	defense|military	0	0			0.53	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
China	china	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Trump	trump	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Housing	housing	0	0			0.45	prior	yes