# Mark Carney (mark-carney) · presser 2026-07-08 · 12 words · K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26JUL08 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:03:55Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-08 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCARNEYMENTION-26JUL08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Carney says {word} as part of NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	14	10	0.71	YYYYYnYYYn	0.67	hist	yes
Arctic	arctic	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.55	hist	yes
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	9	5	0.56	YnYYnYnYn	0.51	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	17	10	0.59	YYYnYnnYnn	0.42	hist	no
Trump	trump	20	4	0.2	nnnYnnYYnn	0.41	hist	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	9	4	0.44	nnYYnYnYn	0.37	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	17	6	0.35	nYnnnYYYnn	0.33	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	14	4	0.29	nYnYnnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	0	0			0.44	prior	no