# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-03-11 · 39 words · K k:KXBUSINESSROUNDTABLE-25MAR11 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-business-roundtable-appearance-today · as_of 2026-10-24T05:05:15Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-03-11 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBUSINESSROUNDTABLE-25MAR11 ({word} = w of K rows): If President Trump says {word} as part of remarks at Business Roundtable and any immediate Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-business-roundtable-appearance-today (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	1	K	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Putin	putin	1	P	13	11	0.85	YnYYnYYYYY	0.58	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	10	8	0.8	YYYYYnYYnY	0.58	hist	no
China 5+ times	china#5	5	P	13	11	0.85	YYYYYYnYYY	0.55	hist	no
Elon	elon	1	P	14	11	0.79	YYYYYYYnnn	0.54	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnYn	0.54	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	K	7	5	0.71	YYYYnnY	0.54	hist	yes
Lutnick	lutnick	1	K	0	0			0.54	hist	no
Canada	canada	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.53	hist	no
Russia	russia	1	K	7	5	0.71	YYYYnYn	0.53	hist	yes
Mexico	mexico	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.51	hist	yes
Israel	israel	1	P	18	14	0.78	YYYnYnnYnY	0.5	hist	no
Bessent	bessent	1	K	0	0			0.5	hist	no
Wall Street	wall street	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.49	hist	no
Million 10+ times	million#10	10	P	13	10	0.77	YYYnYYYnnY	0.48	hist	no
Vladimir / Putin	putin|vladimir	1	K	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.47	hist	no
Energy 5+ times	energy#5	5	P	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.45	hist	no
Inflation 5+ times	inflation#5	5	P	2	2	1	YY	0.44	hist	no
Chip	chip	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	no
Tesla	tesla	1	K	6	2	0.33	nYnnYn	0.43	hist	yes
NAFTA	nafta	1	P	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	0.37	hist	no
Billion 10+ times	billion#10	10	P	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	14	4	0.29	nYnnnYnYnY	0.34	hist	no
Saudi Arabia	saudi arabia	1	P	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.28	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	65	2	0.03	nnYnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Hedge Fund	hedge fund	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Investor	investor	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Market	market	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
NVIDIA	nvidia	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Recession	recession	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut down	shut down|shutdown	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
SP500 / S&P 500	s&p 500|sp500	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Stock	stock	1	K	0	0			0.45	prior	no
51st State	51st state	1	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Beautiful 3+ times	beautiful#3	3	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Canada 3+ times	canada#3	3	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Europe 5+ times	europe#5	5	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no