# George W. Bush (george-w-bush) · speech 2025-11-21 · 12 words · K k:KXBUSHMENTION-25NOV21 · as_of 2026-10-25T23:07:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-21 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBUSHMENTION-25NOV21 ({word} = w of K rows): If George W. Bush says {word} as part of Dick Cheney's funeral, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	p_src	res
Iraq	iraq	0	0		0.28	hist	no
Darth Vader	darth vader	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Foreign Policy	foreign policy	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Honor	honor	0	0		0.34	prior	yes
Middle East	middle east	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Military	military	0	0		0.34	prior	no
National Security	national security	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Peace	peace	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism	terror|terrorism|terrorist	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.34	prior	no
Wyoming	wyoming	0	0		0.34	prior	yes