# JD Vance (jd-vance) · keynote 2025-05-28 · 35 words · K k:KXBTCMENTIONVANCE-25MAY28 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-bitcoin-2025-conference-on-may-28th · as_of 2026-10-24T20:14:17Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-28 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBTCMENTIONVANCE-25MAY28 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of the Keynote Address at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference originally scheduled for Wednesday May 28th at 9:00 AM, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-bitcoin-2025-conference-on-may-28th (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Bitcoin	bitcoin	1	K	0	0			0.27	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Bank	bank	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Blockchain	blockchain	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Bo / Hines	bo|hine	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
China	china	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Coin 25+	coin#25	25	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Coin 35+	coin#35	35	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Coin 50+	coin#50	50	P	0	0			0.35	prior	no
David Sacks	david sack	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Decentralized	decentralized	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Dinner	dinner	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Economy	economy	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
El Salvador	el salvador	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Ethereum	ethereum	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Free speech	free speech	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Fund	fund	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	no
GENIUS Act	genius act	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Gold	gold	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Harris	harris	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Inflation 3+	inflation#3	3	P	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+	billion|million|trillion#5	5	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
NFT	nft	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Overreach	overreach	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Red Tape	red tape	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Reserve	reserve	1	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Ross / Ulbricht	ross|ulbricht	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Saylor	saylor	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
SEC	sec	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Stablecoin	stablecoin	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	yes
Strategic Reserve	strategic reserve	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Tax	tax	1	K	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Trump 10+	trump#10	10	P	0	0			0.35	prior	yes