# Michelle Bowman (michelle-bowman) · keynote 2026-10-06 · 14 words · K k:KXBOWMANMENTION-26OCT06 · as_of 2026-10-25T00:28:50Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-10-06 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBOWMANMENTION-26OCT06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Michelle Bowman says {word} as part of 2026 Community Banking Research Conference keynote originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	hist	yes
Basel III	basel iii	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	hist	no
Transparency	transparency	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
Leverage Ratio	leverage ratio	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.55	hist	yes
Stress Test	stress test	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.55	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
SVB / Silicon Valley Bank	silicon valley bank|svb	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.5	hist	yes
Trump / President	president|trump	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist	yes
Private Credit	private credit	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
Recession	recession	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
Cyber / Cybersecurity	cyber|cybersecurity	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Merger	merger	0	0			0.44	prior	yes