# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks by 2025-06-06 (settled) · 10 words · K k:KXBILATERALMENTION-25JUN06 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:23:01Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-06-06 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBILATERALMENTION-25JUN06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of his next bilateral meeting with a foreign leader in the Oval Office, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
China	china	20	18	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.7	yes
Tariff	tariff	17	15	0.88	YnYYYYYnYY	0.69	yes
Elon	elon	20	15	0.75	YnnnYnnYYY	0.52	no
Trade	trade	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.46	yes
Border	border	12	10	0.83	YYYYnnYYYY	0.44	no
Energy	energy	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.39	yes
NATO	nato	10	2	0.2	nnnnnYYnnn	0.35	no
Defense	defense	2	1	0.5	nY	0.33	no
Investment	investment	2	0	0	nn	0.31	yes
Sanction	sanction	2	1	0.5	nY	0.3	no