# Joe Biden (joe-biden) · interview 2025-05-08 · 35 words · K k:KXBIDENMENTION-25MAY08 · P p:what-will-joe-biden-say-during-may-8-interview · as_of 2026-10-24T23:54:48Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-08 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBIDENMENTION-25MAY08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joe Biden says {word} as part of his Appearance on The View originally scheduled for 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-joe-biden-say-during-may-8-interview (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden says the listed term during this interview.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.45	hist	no
Recession	recession	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist	no
Tax	tax	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.41	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	KP	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.38	hist	no
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	P	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Hunter	hunter	1	K	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.28	hist	no
Afghanistan	afghanistan	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	no
COVID	covid	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	0	0			0.25	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	KP	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Immigration	immigration	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Putin	putin	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	KP	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
University	university	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
SCOTUS / Supreme Court	scotus|supreme court	1	K	0	0			0.24	hist	no
Malarkey	malarkey	1	K	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Kamala / Harris	harris|kamala	1	KP	2	0	0	nn	0.22	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.2	hist	yes
Alley Cat	alley cat	1	P	4	0	0	nnnn	0.19	hist	no
Debate	debate	1	K	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Folks	folk	1	K	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Legacy	legacy	1	K	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	K	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Border	border	1	P	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
China	china	1	P	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Democracy 2+	democracy#2	2	P	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Francis	francis	1	P	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Jill 5+	jill#5	5	P	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Lie / Liar	liar|lie	1	P	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Social Security	social security	1	P	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Trump 5+	trump#5	5	P	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	1	P	0	0			0.28	prior	no