# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · interview 2026-09-23 · 17 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26SEP23 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:53:49Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-23 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29..2026-05-28 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26SEP23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of Fox News: Special Report with Bret Baier originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	3	3	0.69	hist	no
Inflation / Inflationary	inflation|inflationary	1	0	0			3	2	0.67	hist	yes
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	3	1	0.64	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	3	3	1	YYY	3	1	0.62	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYYYn	3	3	0.62	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	8	6	0.75	YnYYYYnY	3	1	0.59	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	12	9	0.75	nYYYYYYYnn	3	3	0.57	hist	yes
Fed / Federal Reserve / Warsh	fed|federal reserve|warsh	1	0	0			3	2	0.57	hist	yes
GDP	gdp	1	16	9	0.56	nYnnYYYYnY	3	1	0.54	hist	no
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	1	1	1	Y	3	2	0.53	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	22	15	0.68	nYnYYYYYnn	3	2	0.53	hist	yes
Tax Cut / Cut Tax	cut tax|tax cut	1	2	1	0.5	nY	3	3	0.46	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	3	2	0.43	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	21	7	0.33	nnYYnnnYnn	3	1	0.34	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	15	4	0.27	nnYYnnnYnn	3	1	0.34	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	10	3	0.3	nYnnnYYnnn	3	0	0.33	hist	no
Buyback / Buy Back	buy back|buyback	1	0	0			3	0	0.43	prior	no