# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · speech 2026-09-10 · 18 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26SEP10 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:36:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-10 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29..2026-05-28 (under 2 speech transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26SEP10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of RNC Midterm Convention , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Biden	biden	1	6	6	1	YYYYYY	3	2	0.73	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	3	3	0.72	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	3	3	0.71	yes
Trump Account	trump account	1	4	4	1	YYYY	3	2	0.69	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	10	9	0.9	YYYYYYYYYn	3	2	0.68	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	11	9	0.82	YnYYYYYYYn	3	3	0.64	no
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	3	1	0.62	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	7	5	0.71	YnYYYYn	3	1	0.6	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	21	15	0.71	YnYnYYYYYn	3	2	0.59	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	1	Y	3	2	0.57	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	0	0			3	1	0.56	no
GDP	gdp	1	15	8	0.53	nnYnnYYYYn	3	1	0.53	yes
Productivity	productivity	1	2	1	0.5	nY	3	0	0.5	no
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	3	3	0.49	no
Tax Cut / Cut Tax	cut tax|tax cut	1	1	0	0	n	3	3	0.41	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	20	7	0.35	nnnYYnnnYn	3	1	0.39	no
Trillion	trillion	1	2	0	0	nn	3	1	0.39	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	9	3	0.33	nYnnnYYnn	3	0	0.38	no