# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · tv_episode 2026-10-18 · 19 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26OCT18 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:07:31Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-10-18 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29..2026-05-28 (under 2 tv episode transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26OCT18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trump Account	trump account	1	5	5	1	YYYYY	3	2	0.69	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	10	9	0.9	YYYYYYYYnY	3	3	0.65	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYYYn	3	3	0.65	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	13	10	0.77	YYYYYYYnnY	3	3	0.59	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	23	16	0.7	YnYYYYYnnY	3	2	0.56	hist	yes
Fed / Federal Reserve / Warsh	fed|federal reserve|warsh	1	1	1	1	Y	3	2	0.55	hist	yes
Inflation / Inflationary	inflation|inflationary	1	1	1	1	Y	3	2	0.55	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	3	2	0.54	hist	yes
GDP	gdp	1	17	9	0.53	YnnYYYYnYn	3	1	0.48	hist	no
Tax Cut / Cut Tax	cut tax|tax cut	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	3	3	0.41	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	1	0	0	n	3	1	0.38	hist	no
Buyback / Buy Back	buy back|buyback	1	1	0	0	n	3	0	0.38	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	16	5	0.31	nYYnnnYnnY	3	1	0.37	hist	no
Debt / Deficit	debt|deficit	1	0	0			3	3	0.37	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	22	7	0.32	nYYnnnYnnn	3	1	0.34	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	11	3	0.27	YnnnYYnnnn	3	0	0.32	hist	no
Balance Sheet	balance sheet	1	0	0			3	0	0.46	prior	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	1	0	0			3	0	0.46	prior	no
IMF / World Bank	imf|world bank	1	0	0			3	0	0.46	prior	no