# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · keynote 2026-05-29 · 26 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26MAY29 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:56:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-29 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29..2026-05-28 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26MAY29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of 2026 Reagan National Economic Forum - Keynote Address & Conversation , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Inflation	inflation	1	6	6	1	YYYYYY	3	2	0.76	yes
Biden	biden	1	3	3	1	YYY	3	2	0.68	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	4	4	1	YYYY	3	3	0.64	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	3	3	1	YYY	3	3	0.61	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	3	1	0.61	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	3	3	0.61	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	1	1	1	Y	3	1	0.6	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	1	1	1	Y	3	3	0.6	no
Trump Account	trump account	1	1	1	1	Y	3	2	0.6	yes
Warsh	warsh	1	1	1	1	Y	3	2	0.6	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	15	10	0.67	YnYnnYYnYn	3	2	0.58	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	3	1	0.57	yes
Main Street	main street	1	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	3	2	0.56	yes
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	3	1	0.55	yes
National Security	national security	1	4	2	0.5	nnYY	3	2	0.52	yes
GDP	gdp	1	11	5	0.45	YnYYnnYnnY	3	1	0.5	yes
Deregulation	deregulation	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	3	1	0.46	no
Tax Cut	tax cut	1	11	4	0.36	nnnYnnYYnY	3	3	0.45	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	9	3	0.33	nnnnYnnYY	3	1	0.45	no
America First	america first	1	1	0	0	n	3	1	0.42	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	1	0	0	n	3	1	0.42	yes
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	1	1	0	0	n	3	0	0.42	yes
Semiconductor / Chip	chip|semiconductor	1	1	0	0	n	3	1	0.42	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	14	5	0.36	nnYYnnnnnY	3	1	0.38	yes
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	3	0	0.33	yes
Economic Fury	economic fury	1	2	0	0	nn	3	1	0.32	yes