# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · tv_episode 2026-03-22 · 11 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26MAR22B · as_of 2026-10-24T23:54:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-22 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29 (under 2 tv episode transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26MAR22B ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of Meet the Press, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	1	9	7	0.78	YYYYYYnYn	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.52	hist	yes
China	china	1	9	6	0.67	YYYnYnYYn	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	0	0			1	0	0.52	hist	yes
GDP	gdp	1	6	3	0.5	nYnYYn	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	9	4	0.44	nYnYnnYYn	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			1	0	0.3	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.27	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			1	1	0.42	prior	yes
Venezuela / Cuba	cuba|venezuela	1	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	no