# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · keynote 2026-01-21 · 16 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JAN21 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:28:23Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-21 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JAN21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of WEF Conversation with Scott Bessent, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Tariff	tariff	4	4	1	YYYY	1	1	0.68	yes
Inflation	inflation	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.61	yes
China	china	4	3	0.75	YYYn	1	1	0.57	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.55	yes
Stock Market	stock market	4	2	0.5	nYnY	1	0	0.48	no
Fed	fed	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.48	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	1	0.39	no
Data Center	data center	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	no
GDP	gdp	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	yes
Middle Class	middle class	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	no
Stablecoin	stablecoin	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	no
Innovation	innovation	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.3	yes
National Security	national security	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.3	yes
Tax Cut	tax cut	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.3	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.29	no
Recession	recession	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.26	yes