# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · interview 2026-02-21 · 12 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26FEB21 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:29:33Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26FEB21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of The Will Cain Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	7	6	0.86	YYYYYYn	1	1	0.62	hist	yes
China	china	7	5	0.71	YYYnYnY	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.58	hist	yes
GDP	gdp	4	2	0.5	nYnY	1	0	0.54	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.53	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	7	3	0.43	nYnYnnY	1	0	0.5	hist	yes
Tax Cut	tax cut	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	1	1	0.41	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.4	hist	no
Stablecoin	stablecoin	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Iran	iran	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	no
Trillion	trillion	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	no
Warren	warren	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	no