# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · keynote 2025-10-16 · 14 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-25OCT16 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:27:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-16 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-25OCT16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of CNBC Invest in America Forum on October 15th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
China	china	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.31	hist	yes
Powell	powell	0	0			1	0	0.31	hist	no
Argentina	argentina	0	0			1	0	0.35	prior	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	0	0			1	0	0.35	prior	no
Deficit	deficit	0	0			1	1	0.35	prior	yes
Economy	economy	0	0			1	0	0.35	prior	yes
Fed Chair	fed chair	0	0			1	0	0.35	prior	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	0	0			1	1	0.35	prior	yes
Rate	rate	0	0			1	1	0.35	prior	yes
Recession	recession	0	0			1	0	0.35	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0			1	0	0.35	prior	yes
Stake	stake	0	0			1	0	0.35	prior	yes