# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · tv_episode 2025-12-08 · 12 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-25DEC08 · as_of 2026-10-27T03:46:37Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-08 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29 (under 2 tv episode transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-25DEC08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of Face the Nation on December 7th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
China	china	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.61	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Fed	fed	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.5	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.37	hist	yes
Innovation	innovation	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.32	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.32	hist	no
Tax Cut	tax cut	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.32	hist	no
Recession	recession	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.28	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	yes
Biden	biden	0	0			1	1	0.39	prior	yes