# Michael Barr (michael-barr) · speech 2026-09-29 · 15 words · K k:KXBARRMENTION-26SEP29 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:07:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-29 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBARRMENTION-26SEP29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Michael S. Barr says {word} as part of Detroit Economic Club: State of the U.S. Economy originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Inflation / Inflationary	inflation|inflationary	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Labor / Employment / Unemployment	employment|labor|unemployment	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Mortgage	mortgage	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Recession	recession	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.53	hist	yes
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.4	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.39	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Financial Crisis	financial crisis	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Trump	trump	3	0	0	nnn	0.29	hist	no
Balance Sheet	balance sheet	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Productivity	productivity	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Stock Market	stock market	0	0			0.43	prior	no