# Michael Barr (michael-barr) · keynote 2026-09-23 · 14 words · K k:KXBARRMENTION-26SEP23 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:51:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-23 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBARRMENTION-26SEP23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Michael S. Barr says {word} as part of keynote and fireside chat at At the Housing Affordability 2026: A Community Development Summit, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	2	1	0.5	nY	0.58	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	2	1	0.5	nY	0.58	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	2	1	0.5	nY	0.58	hist	no
Trump	trump	2	0	0	nn	0.25	hist	no
CRA / Community Reinvestment Act	community reinvestment act|cra	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Financial Crisis	financial crisis	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Homeless / Homelessness	homeless|homelessness	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Inflation / Inflationary	inflation|inflationary	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Labor / Employment / Unemployment	employment|labor|unemployment	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Mortgage	mortgage	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Recession	recession	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Rent / Rental	rent|rental	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Zoning / Permit / Permitting	permit|permitting|zoning	0	0			0.43	prior	yes