# Steve Bannon (steve-bannon) · keynote 2026-04-15 · 13 words · K k:KXBANNONMENTION-26APR15 · as_of 2026-10-27T07:21:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-15 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K, res void · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBANNONMENTION-26APR15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Steve Bannon says {word} as part of The Next Frontier | Semafor World Economy , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Election	election	1	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist
Biden	biden	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	hist
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist
Tariff	tariff	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.35	prior
Capitalist / Capitalism	capitalism|capitalist	1	0	0			0.35	prior
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0			0.35	prior
Dollar	dollar	1	0	0			0.35	prior
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	0	0			0.35	prior
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			0.35	prior
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0			0.35	prior