# Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (alexandria-ocasio-cortez) · speech 2026-01-02 · 10 words · K k:KXAOCMENTION-26JAN02 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:08:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-02 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXAOCMENTION-26JAN02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says {word} as part of ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Socialism / Socialist	socialism|socialist	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.33	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.33	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Fascism / Fascist	fascism|fascist	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Grocery	grocery	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0			0.39	prior	no