# Sam Altman (sam-altman) · interview 2026-09-29 · 16 words · K k:KXALTMANMENTION-26SEP29 · as_of 2026-10-25T09:18:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-29 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-07-22..2025-10-10 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXALTMANMENTION-26SEP29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Sam Altman says {word} as part of CNBC: Fast Money Halftime Report originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
ChatGPT	chatgpt	1	1	1	Y	2	2	0.37	hist	no
Google / Gemini	gemini|google	2	1	0.5	nY	2	1	0.35	hist	no
Compute	compute	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	2	0.31	hist	no
IP / Intellectual Property	intellectual property|ip	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	1	0.31	hist	no
Sora	sora	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	1	0.31	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			2	0	0.28	hist	no
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	0	0			2	0	0.25	hist	yes
Valuation / IPO	ipo|valuation	0	0			2	0	0.24	hist	yes
Anthropic / Claude	anthropic|claude	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.22	hist	no
AGI	agi	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.21	hist	yes
Elon / Grok	elon|grok	0	0			2	0	0.21	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.2	hist	no
Nvidia	nvidia	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.2	hist	no
Astra	astra	0	0			2	0	0.28	prior	no
Open Source	open source	0	0			2	0	0.28	prior	yes
Data Center	data center	0	0			2	0	0.26	prior	no