# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-07-11 · 13 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26JUL11RILKAM · as_of 2026-10-26T19:05:57Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-07-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26JUL11RILKAM ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III Fight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	68	37	0.54	nnnYYYYnYn	0.52
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	70	37	0.53	nnnYYnnnnY	0.51
Decision / Judge	decision|judge	11	5	0.45	YYYnYnnYnn	0.38
Blood / Bloody / Bloodied	blood|bloodied|bloody	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.36
Triangle	triangle	65	22	0.34	YnnnYYYnnY	0.34
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	68	20	0.29	YnnYYnnnnn	0.3
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	70	20	0.29	YnnYnnnYnn	0.29
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	65	18	0.28	nnnnnnnnYn	0.28
Championship	championship	68	13	0.19	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.2
What a Fight	what a fight	57	5	0.09	nnYnnnnnnn	0.11
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	68	4	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08
Dana	dana	71	4	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07
Lights Out	lights out	66	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.01