# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-05-09 · 13 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAY09VANTAI · as_of 2026-10-25T12:12:52Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-09 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26MAY09VANTAI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira UFC Fight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	39	23	0.59	nnYYnnYYYn	0.56	no
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	32	17	0.53	nnYYnnYYYn	0.5	yes
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	42	21	0.5	nnYYnnYnnn	0.48	no
Triangle	triangle	40	14	0.35	nnYYnnYnYn	0.35	yes
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	42	13	0.31	YnYnnnYnnY	0.32	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	42	13	0.31	nnnnnnnnYY	0.31	yes
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	40	12	0.3	nnYnnnnnnY	0.31	yes
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	40	11	0.28	YnYnnnYnnn	0.28	yes
Championship	championship	41	8	0.2	nnnnnnnnnY	0.21	yes
What a Fight	what a fight	29	3	0.1	nYnYnnYnnn	0.14	yes
Dana	dana	42	3	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	40	2	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	yes
Lights Out	lights out	41	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.01	no