# UFC & boxing (ufc-and-boxing) · game 2026-04-25 · 13 words · K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26APR25GRALUN · as_of 2026-10-25T12:12:52Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-25 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFIGHTMENTION-26APR25GRALUN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Davey Grant vs Juan Adrian Luna Martinetti UFC Fight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	35	20	0.57	YnYnnnYYnn	0.54	yes
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out	knock out|knocked out|knockout	38	20	0.53	nnYnnnYYnn	0.51	yes
Decision / Judged	decision|judged	28	14	0.5	nYYYnnYYnn	0.47	yes
Triangle	triangle	36	12	0.33	nnnnnnYYnn	0.34	no
Choke / Choked / Chokehold	choke|choked|chokehold	36	11	0.31	nnYnnnYnnn	0.32	no
Tired / Tiring	tired|tiring	38	11	0.29	YYnnYnYnnn	0.3	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	38	11	0.29	YYnnnnnnnn	0.29	no
Slip / Slips / Slipped	slip|slipped	36	10	0.28	nnnnYnYnnn	0.29	yes
Championship	championship	37	7	0.19	nnnnnnnnnn	0.21	no
What a Fight	what a fight	25	2	0.08	nnnnnYnYnn	0.11	yes
Dana	dana	38	3	0.08	nYnnnnnnnn	0.1	no
Legal / Illegal	illegal|legal	36	2	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	no
Lights Out	lights out	37	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.02	no